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2011-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 86.1% 13.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.6% 19.4% - โœ“
Margin 84.0% 16.0% -9.1 โœ“ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 71.1% 28.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.P. Kuhlman * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 21 29 -
Tom Droney * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 3 12 -
Nik Cochran * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 13 17 -
De'Mon Brooks * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 14 21 -
Jake Cohen * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 0 0 -
Chris Czerapowicz 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 9 11 -
Clint Mann 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 11 -
Tyler Kalinoski 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -
Will Reigel 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
Frank Ben-Eze 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Rendleman * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 2 3 21 30 -
Adam Smith * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 14 18 -
Donte Morales * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 8 8 -
Cedrick Williams * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 5 2 10 19 -
Craig Ponder * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 5 10 -
K.K. Simmons 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
Matt Wilson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
Freddie Jackson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 2 2 1 4 -
Tanner Milson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trevor Deloach 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 2 9 -
Dylan Sherwood 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nate Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter