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2011-11-26

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% - โœ—
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 โœ— (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% - โœ—

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -10 (80-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Oscar Bellfield * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 0 0 3 16 24 -
Anthony Marshall * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 13 20 -
Chace Stanback * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 0 28 41 -
Mike Moser * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 18 6 0 0 4 16 36 -
Brice Massamba * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
Justin Hawkins 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 6 -
Carlos Lopez-Sosa 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 9 13 -
Quintrell Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Kendall Wallace 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Henson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 11 18 -
Kendall Marshall * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 8 0 0 2 7 17 -
Harrison Barnes * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 15 20 -
Dexter Strickland * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 12 17 -
Tyler Zeller * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 5 11 -
Reggie Bullock 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 8 12 -
J. McAdoo 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 6 15 -
P.J. Hairston 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 15 16 -
Justin Watts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Desmond Hubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter