๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 94.5% 5.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 91.4% 8.6% - โœ“
Margin 97.9% 2.1% -21.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 93.6% 6.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 86.3% 13.7% - โœ“

Actual: Towson Tigers -20 (46-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jared Cunningham * 35 4-8 2-5 2-4 2 3 1 0 3 12 7 -
Joe Burton * 31 4-6 1-2 1-2 4 1 4 1 2 10 12 -
Ahmad Starks * 30 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 7 5 -
Devon Collier * 28 7-12 0-0 1-5 5 3 2 0 1 15 12 -
Angus Brandt * 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Roberto Nelson 22 4-8 2-4 2-2 1 4 0 1 1 12 9 -
Eric Moreland 11 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Challe Barton 10 1-4 1-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
Rhys Murphy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kevin McShane 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Daniel Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Damas * 35 5-9 0-2 8-9 10 0 1 1 5 18 16 -
Deon Jones * 31 3-8 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 8 0 -
Kris Walden * 29 0-6 0-0 2-2 2 4 0 0 7 2 -5 -
Robert Nwankwo * 27 2-5 0-0 0-4 7 1 0 1 2 4 6 -
Jervon Pressley * 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 -1 -
Erique Gumbs 26 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
Will Adams 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jamel Flash 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Deyon Cook 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bryan Blackstone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Christian Collins 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter