Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook Seawolves | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Hayes | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Bryan Dougher | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Tommy Brenton | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Dallis Joyner | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Dave Coley | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Rouse | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Al Rapier | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Jackson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Danny Carter | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ron Bracey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Crawford | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - |
| John Shurna | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| JerShon Cobb | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Hearn | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tre Demps | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter