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2011-11-25

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - โœ—
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 โœ— (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% - โœ—

Actual: UConn Huskies -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Clanton * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 0 20 30 -
Marcus Jordan * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 7 0 0 0 20 34 -
Isaiah Sykes * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 10 11 -
Dwight McCombs * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Rod Days * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tristan Spurlock 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 8 9 -
Josh Crittle 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 8 -
Jeff Jordan 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 2 5 -
P.J. Gaynor 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 3 6 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lamb * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 15 17 -
Andre Drummond * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 4 1 13 25 -
Shabazz Napier * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 7 4 7 -
DeAndre Daniels * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 6 11 -
Tyler Olander * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Alex Oriakhi 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 5 0 14 29 -
Roscoe Smith 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
Niels Giffey 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter