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2011-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 14.2% 85.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (7.6 off)
Efficiency 73.4% 26.6% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thompson 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 23 27 -
D. Jackson 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 8 12 -
I. Chiles 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 12 14 -
A. Ali 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 10 19 -
B. Bozeman 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 6 -
L. Bastfield 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
A. Brooks 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Canty 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Duncan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Taylor 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 12 17 -
D. U'u 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 6 13 -
D. Hanson 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 17 19 -
A. Fermin 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 3 12 17 -
D. Royer 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 13 -
M. Love 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Johnson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -1 -
C. Eversley 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
W. Donahue 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Lewis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter