Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +1 (62-61). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Thompson | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Dewayne Jackson | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ian Chiles | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ameer Ali | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Blake Bozeman | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Larry Bastfield | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Aric Brooks | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Canty | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaquille Duncan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Drake U'u | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| David Hanson | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Amaurys Fermin | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Maliik Love | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Donahue | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter