Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 28 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Josh Parker | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Harris * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Travis McKie * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Tony Chennault * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Nikita Mescheriakov * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Carson Desrosiers * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Chase Fischer | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Fields | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Green | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter