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Dayton Flyers 80
@
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 76
2011-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% - ✓
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 ✗ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 93.7% 6.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.7% 6.3% - ✓

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 5 15 20 -
P. Williams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 18 22 -
C. Johnson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 2 2 12 23 -
J. Benson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 10 17 -
M. Kavanaugh * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 3 0 0 3 15 28 -
L. Fabrizius 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 7 10 -
J. Parker 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 -
D. Oliver 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 1 2 -
A. Gavrilovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Harris * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 4 18 25 -
T. McKie * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 2 2 20 28 -
T. Chennault * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 17 23 -
N. Mescheriakov * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 7 13 -
C. Desrosiers * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 2 8 -
C. Fischer 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 12 17 -
A. Fields 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 0 5 -
D. Green 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter