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2011-11-24

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.3 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Dickey * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 18 17 -
Jeremy Atkinson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 0 0 14 27 -
J.P. Primm * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 2 0 4 10 16 -
Quinard Jackson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 8 -
Chris Stephenson * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 9 11 -
Keith Hornsby 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 6 9 -
Jon Nwannunu 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
Trent Meyer 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jaleel Roberts 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 3 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Lamb * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 3 23 30 -
Shabazz Napier * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 3 0 5 23 30 -
DeAndre Daniels * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 3 9 -
Andre Drummond * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 9 14 -
Tyler Olander * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 4 12 -
Roscoe Smith 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 7 11 -
Alex Oriakhi 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 2 4 7 -
Brendan Allen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Niels Giffey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter