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2011-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% -
Bradley-Terry 82.1% 17.9% -
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 19.1% 80.9% -
Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% -
Log Adjusted 7.0% 93.0% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R.J. Griffin * 39 6-12 3-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 17 8 -
D. Rufful * 26 7-10 5-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 19 13 -
J. Trotter * 25 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 7 1 0 3 1 5 -
J. Golden * 19 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. LaBove * 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 1 0 4 -
G. Maldunas 25 6-12 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 14 6 -
J. Brooks 18 1-1 0-0 5-5 6 3 0 2 2 7 15 -
M. McKearney 17 1-4 1-3 1-2 2 1 1 1 2 4 3 -
T. Melville 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -1 -
K. Crecco 6 1-1 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
N. Jackson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Bertasius 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Green * 32 5-11 2-3 6-7 5 3 1 0 3 18 13 -
M. Williams * 32 7-14 3-6 6-8 5 2 1 0 1 23 16 -
C. Doolin * 30 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -4 -
A. Caloiaro * 26 4-9 1-3 7-7 5 3 2 0 2 16 15 -
P. Blackwell * 16 1-6 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 4 3 -3 -
D. O'Connor 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 0 8 8 -
C. Dickerson 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Johnson 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
J. Raffington 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter