Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jordan | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| A. Mason | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 22 | - |
| J. Green | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 29 | - |
| A. Tanksley | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| J. Thomas | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Gillette | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Jones | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Langford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gatson | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| K. Tucker | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Holyfield | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| D. Gatlin | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. James | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. Thompson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| A. Harwell | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. McKinney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter