Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Leonard | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| B. Paul | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| T. Griffey | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| N. Egwu | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Shaw | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Abrams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ekey | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Brown | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| John Wilkins | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Nic Moore | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Blue | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter