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2011-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 โœ“ (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +1 (94-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Edmondson * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 4 0 2 22 34 -
W. Triggs * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 1 0 14 26 -
J. Clyburn * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 10 13 -
J. Terry * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 5 0 3 14 23 -
M. Baker * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 3 2 21 35 -
A. Campbell 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
T. Greer 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
C. Freeman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
M. Hasse 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Lawrence 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray McCallum * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 12 13 -
Chase Simon * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 20 25 -
LaMarcus Lowe * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 10 13 -
Jason Calliste * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 11 16 -
Doug Anderson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 4 18 24 -
Evan Bruinsma 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 2 0 2 15 28 -
Donavan Foster 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 8 10 -
P.J. Boutte 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -

* = starter