Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brown * | 43 | 7-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| N. Tomlinson * | 41 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| A. Roberson * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 21 | - |
| A. Dufault * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Dinwiddie * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Booker | 30 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Chen | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Harris-Tunks | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Sharpe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Stewart * | 42 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 40 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 39 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 39 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 38 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Carter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adam Brakeville | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter