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2011-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 68.2% 31.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 21.4% 78.6% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -16 (63-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hardaway Jr. * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 20 28 -
Z. Novak * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 22 26 -
T. Burke * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 5 11 -
E. Smotrycz * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 1 1 7 19 -
J. Morgan * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
S. Douglass 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 5 9 8 -
J. Horford 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 3 0 12 24 -
M. Vogrich 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Brundidge 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
E. Akunne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Person 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Bartelstein 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Christian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. McLimans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Anderson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 4 0 1 12 18 -
L. Jones * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 8 16 -
T. Lamb * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 8 -
D. Wear * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Wear 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 16 18 -
R. Nelson 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 11 -
N. Powell 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 4 8 -
J. Smith 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 6 12 13 -
A. Stover 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Lane 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter