Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | +19.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +23 (75-52). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hanson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Amaurys Fermin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Johnson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Will Taylor * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Will Donahue | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Maliik Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Titchenal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Marshall * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Mike Moser * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Kendall Wallace | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Karam Mashour | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter