Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +23 (75-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hanson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| A. Fermin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. U'u * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - |
| W. Taylor * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| W. Donahue | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lewis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Eversley | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Royer | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Odister | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - |
| O. Bellfield * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| M. Moser * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| B. Massamba * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| K. Wallace | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Mashour | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter