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2011-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 16.5% 83.5% -
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +23 (75-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hanson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 17 24 -
A. Fermin * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 9 11 -
J. Johnson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 3 0 3 9 12 -
D. U'u * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 0 3 14 -
W. Taylor * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 7 11 -
W. Donahue 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
J. Lewis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
C. Eversley 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
D. Royer 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
M. Love 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
M. Titchenal 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Odister 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Marshall * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 0 3 13 22 -
O. Bellfield * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 12 16 -
M. Moser * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 4 2 4 14 25 -
C. Stanback * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 2 11 18 -
B. Massamba * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 1 1 10 22 -
J. Hawkins 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 1 1 7 14 -
K. Wallace 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Q. Thomas 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 0 0 6 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
K. Mashour 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter