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2011-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 5.8% 94.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 (8.6 off)

Actual: George Mason Patriots +20 (66-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Aronhalt * 38 6-15 1-8 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 15 3 -
M. Black * 37 2-14 0-4 2-2 3 2 3 0 1 6 -1 -
B. Metcalf * 36 3-6 0-0 0-0 12 0 2 2 0 6 16 -
G. Suero * 25 3-10 1-3 3-5 6 0 0 0 8 10 -2 -
L. Devlin * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Guerrier 32 0-7 0-3 5-6 5 1 0 1 2 5 3 -
R. Watts 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Rowley 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
J. Iati 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Pearson * 31 11-18 0-2 2-3 7 2 1 0 4 24 12 -
S. Wright * 31 5-10 1-3 1-1 7 0 1 2 2 12 10 -
V. Vaughns * 30 0-6 0-5 0-1 3 4 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Edwards * 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 4 3 0 1 2 10 -
M. Morrison * 22 6-10 0-0 1-3 9 2 1 1 0 13 16 -
B. Allen 23 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
E. Copes 18 3-7 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 2 2 6 7 -
V. Gray 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Arledge 9 0-3 0-0 4-4 0 2 0 0 0 4 3 -
B. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Baird 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter