Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | -9.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.2% | 18.8% | -8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -5 (64-69). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damier Pitts * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| DeAndre Kane * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Robert Goff * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Dago Pena * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dennis Tinnon * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille Johnson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Justin Coleman | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Youssoupha Mbao | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jamir Hanner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Ponder * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Cedrick Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Keith Rendleman * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Donte Morales * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Adam Smith * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Freddie Jackson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Tanner Milson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Matt Wilson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trevor Deloach | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K.K. Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shane Reybold | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dylan Sherwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter