Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 35 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 14 | - |
| John Wilkins | 33 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Nic Moore | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5-9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darious Clark | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Biruta | 30 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Miller | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Mack | 25 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| E. Carter | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Seagears | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Poole | 19 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Kone | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Carroll | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Randall | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| G. Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter