Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +31.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +27 (54-27). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hammond | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Smith | 0 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 0 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Burke | 0 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Warren | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| K. Kuric * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Smith * | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| R. Smith * | 21 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| E. Justice | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Nunez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Z. Price | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Henderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter