Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Albany Great Danes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Albany Great Danes +36 (85-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Steele * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| M. Myers Keitt * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Phil Wait * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ed Waite * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Dion Nesmith * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Nicholas | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Will Campbell | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Daniel James | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mykel Harris | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Tillotson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Max DiLeo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Black * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Gerardo Suero * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Luke Devlin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Logan Aronhalt * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Blake Metcalf * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jayson Guerrier | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 41 | - |
| Ralph Watts | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Sam Rowley | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jacob Iati | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
* = starter