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2011-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Manhattan Jaspers Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 โœ— (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 57.5% 42.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.0% 52.0% - โœ—

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Manhattan Jaspers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
George Beamon * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 13 21 -
Kidani Brutus * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 5 8 10 -
Donovan Kates * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 14 18 -
Roberto Colonette * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 13 21 -
Emmy Andujar * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 8 -
Michael Alvarado 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 12 15 -
Liam McCabe-Moran 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 13 -
Rhamel Brown 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 3 8 14 -
Mohamed Koita 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 4 10 -
Kevin Laue 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 1 4 -
Ryan McCoy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerry Brown * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 3 8 13 -
Kevin Olekaibe * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 3 0 3 25 29 -
Kevin Foster * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 10 13 -
Steven Shepp * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 9 13 -
Jonathan Wills * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 7 14 -
Tyler Johnson 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 0 8 19 -
L. McGaughey 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
Garrett Johnson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 10 14 -

* = starter