Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Lewis * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Alexis Wangmene * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J'Covan Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Jonathan Holmes * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Myck Kabongo * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| S. Mac | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jaylen Bond | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Clint Chapman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Sterling Gibbs | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| D. Painter * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| L. Brown * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| R. Howell * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| T. Harris * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Wood | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| C.J. Leslie | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 24 | - |
| A. Johnson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. de Thaey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter