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2011-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Coppin State Eagles UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.3% 87.7% - โœ“
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.2% 85.8% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Coppin State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Gallo * 31 8-19 3-10 2-4 0 6 0 0 1 21 7 -
Akeem Ellis * 30 6-10 4-6 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 16 15 -
Logan Wiens * 29 2-9 2-7 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Taariq Cephas * 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 0 -
Michael Murray * 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 0 0 -
Michael Harper 33 6-12 2-3 1-1 4 3 1 0 1 15 10 -
Antonio Williams 29 2-6 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Collin Johnson 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
Mike Simpson 6 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Rodney Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon St. Louis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shabazz Napier * 39 8-14 3-5 3-4 12 13 2 1 1 22 35 -
Jeremy Lamb * 37 10-17 3-9 2-2 2 1 2 3 1 25 15 -
DeAndre Daniels * 36 2-3 1-2 0-2 4 2 3 1 2 5 10 -
Tyler Olander * 18 4-8 0-0 3-4 10 1 0 0 1 11 13 -
Alex Oriakhi * 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Roscoe Smith 31 6-10 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 15 9 -
Andre Drummond 12 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Niels Giffey 7 1-2 0-1 1-5 1 1 0 1 0 3 4 -
Enosch Wolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brendan Allen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter