Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +25 (74-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Rendleman * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Smith * | 26 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -3 | - |
| C. Ponder * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Anderson * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Morales * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Milson | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Williams | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K.K. Simmons | 14 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -7 | - |
| F. Jackson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Deloach | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wilson | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Sherwood | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Reybold | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dillard * | 29 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 27 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| J. Benson * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| P. Williams * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Parker | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Oliver | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A. Gavrilovic | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Hill | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Vonderhaar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Asmus | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter