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2011-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.2 โœ“ (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 73.8% 26.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.5% 8.5% - โœ“

Actual: Butler Bulldogs -16 (53-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kuric * 40 7-11 3-6 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 17 14 -
C. Smith * 37 4-8 1-3 6-8 4 2 2 0 1 15 14 -
G. Dieng * 34 3-3 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 2 2 8 11 -
C. Behanan * 19 1-5 0-3 2-4 7 1 0 1 4 4 4 -
R. Smith * 17 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 0 2 1 4 9 3 -
J. Swopshire 23 3-8 0-2 2-3 6 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
E. Justice 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
S. Van Treese 6 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
T. Henderson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Kampen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ronald Nored * 36 0-4 0-1 3-4 3 7 3 0 4 3 8 -
Chase Stigall * 29 4-10 3-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 2 -
Khyle Marshall * 28 8-13 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 0 2 20 12 -
Chrishawn Hopkins * 27 1-8 0-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -
Andrew Smith * 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
Kameron Woods 19 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 5 2 -
Roosevelt Jones 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 3 3 0 2 1 7 -
Andy Smeathers 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Jackson Aldridge 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Garrett Butcher 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Erik Fromm 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter