Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -16 (53-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuric * | 40 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| C. Smith * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Smith * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Justice | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Henderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Kampen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Nored * | 36 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Stigall * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| C. Hopkins * | 27 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. Smith * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Woods | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Jones | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| A. Smeathers | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Aldridge | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Butcher | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Fromm | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter