Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Columbia Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Columbia Lions -8 (58-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hinkle * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Troy Brewer * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| John Schoof * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Blake Jolivette | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Riley Grafft | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Joe Hill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Barbour * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Mark Cisco * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 31 | - |
| Meiko Lyles * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Blaise Staab * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Matt Johnson * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Rosenberg | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| John Daniels | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Chris Crockett | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Steve Egee | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dean Kowalski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cory Osetkowski | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter