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2011-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Margin 40.8% 59.2% +2.1 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.3% 46.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +8 (61-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Filzen * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 11 15 -
Jarod Oldham * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 3 0 0 4 17 -
Javon McCrea * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 4 19 21 -
Dave Barnett * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
Mitchell Watt * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 9 16 -
Titus Robinson 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 1 3 5 12 -
Auraum Nuiriankh 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
Tony Watson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Xavier Ford 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 3 8 -
Cameron Downing 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Doug Davis * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 16 21 -
Ian Hummer * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 2 2 18 34 -
T.J. Bray * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 5 7 12 -
Will Barrett * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 0 5 -
Brendan Connolly * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 3 5 -
Mack Darrow 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 11 17 -
Patrick Saunders 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 8 -
Denton Koon 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
Ben Hazel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
John Comfort 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jimmy Sherburne 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter