Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (27.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +42 (103-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinnie McGhee * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Thomas Jacobs * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Josh Greene * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Davon Potts | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| John Hayward-Mayhew | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ari Feldman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Allan Guei | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frankie Eteuati | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Mitchell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Lonnie Watson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Allen Jiles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Hadziomerovic * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Drew Wiley * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Elorriaga | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter