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2011-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% -
Bradley-Terry 14.5% 85.5% -
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.4 (25.6 off)
Pythagorean 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +42 (103-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. McGhee * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 1 0 7 13 15 -
S. Hicks * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 23 25 -
T. Jacobs * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
J. Greene * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 5 -
D. Potts 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 10 -
J. Hayward-Mayhew 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
A. Feldman 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 8 -
A. Guei 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 0 0 -
F. Eteuati 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Mitchell 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
L. Watson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
A. Jiles IV 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Hadziomerovic * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 0 3 18 24 -
W. Perryman * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 11 20 -
A. Drmic * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 14 19 -
R. Watkins * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 2 10 17 -
D. Wiley * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
T. Bropleh 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 20 24 -
D. Marks 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 1 3 11 19 -
K. Buckner 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 9 16 -
T. Nichols 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 5 6 -
J. Elorriaga 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Crayton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 0 5 -

* = starter