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Toledo Rockets 91
@
Texas State Bobcats 94
2011-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Texas State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.4% 38.6% - ✗
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 ✗ (4.8 off)

Actual: Texas State Bobcats +3 (94-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Buckley 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 6 2 0 5 8 11 -
R. Holliday 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 0 3 10 23 -
R. Majerle 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 11 13 -
J. Brown 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 1 0 3 17 25 -
R. Pearson 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 4 25 32 -
D. Dear 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
M. Smith 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 4 3 15 18 -
A. Mathew 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
R. Wonnell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ybarra 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 15 21 -
E. Rios 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 9 15 -
V. Jones 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 2 0 0 16 22 -
W. Davis 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 7 -
T. Jones 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 3 9 -
M. Staff 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 22 28 -
R. Koenen 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 13 17 -
J. Bowman 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 5 7 -
B. Brown 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 5 -
L. Mergerson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Ball 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Bachus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter