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2011-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Delaware Blue Hens Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.2% 90.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware Blue Hens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Saddler * 39 11-26 3-10 2-4 4 4 1 0 3 27 7 -
K. Lewis * 31 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 2 0 -
J. Hagins * 25 4-6 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
J. Threatt * 25 3-11 3-9 2-2 4 5 2 1 1 11 11 -
J. Brinkley * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 0 -2 -
K. McNeil 28 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 0 6 13 -
K. Anderson 20 4-9 4-9 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 12 6 -
L. Savage 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
H. McCullar 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maalik Wayns * 36 7-12 2-6 5-6 2 5 2 0 3 21 15 -
Dominic Cheek * 35 6-12 3-8 6-6 4 3 0 2 0 21 18 -
Mouphtaou Yarou * 30 8-14 0-0 3-5 5 0 2 0 2 19 10 -
Darrun Hilliard * 27 2-5 2-3 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 6 10 -
James Bell * 23 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 7 1 1 0 2 11 -
JayVaughn Pinkston 19 0-6 0-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Maurice Sutton 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 3 6 -
Ash Yacoubou 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Markus Kennedy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tyrone Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter