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2011-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels +4 (63-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simons * 38 7-14 4-8 4-4 4 2 4 0 3 22 15 -
Rayvonte Rice * 37 4-12 1-5 3-4 7 0 0 1 3 12 5 -
Jordan Clarke * 33 0-2 0-0 5-9 11 3 0 0 1 5 16 -
Aaron Hawley * 29 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 6 8 4 -
Karl Madison * 20 0-6 0-2 0-2 2 1 2 0 4 0 -5 -
Kurt Alexander 18 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 8 4 -
Kraidon Woods 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jeremy Jeffers 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
David Smith 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 -

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrance Henry * 31 3-11 0-1 2-4 10 1 0 0 6 8 2 -
Nick Williams * 27 2-7 1-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
D. Nelson * 23 5-16 2-8 4-7 4 1 6 1 2 16 10 -
Murphy Holloway * 20 1-3 0-0 2-6 4 1 1 1 3 4 5 -
Demarco Cox * 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 6 7 -
Jarvis Summers 33 3-6 1-3 7-11 0 2 0 0 5 14 5 -
Reginald Buckner 26 0-1 0-0 2-6 6 1 0 3 0 2 11 -
Maurice Aniefiok 17 2-6 1-1 0-2 0 1 3 0 2 5 1 -
Aaron Jones 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter