Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -5 (71-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Snell * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 28 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Phillip McDonald * | 12 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Drew Gordon | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kendall Williams | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Chad Adams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Felix * | 39 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Trent Lockett * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Keala King * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Chris Colvin * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Kyle Cain * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Chanse Creekmur | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Bachynski | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ruslan Pateev | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter