Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.8% | 98.2% | +21.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +30 (68-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Jones * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mark Yelovich * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Stineman * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - |
| Derian Shaffer * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Corey Wickware * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kris Davis | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Michael Birts | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Michael Messer | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Reed | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Joy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zeke Schneider | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Boarden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Heck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Cousin * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 31 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Trey Blue | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter