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2011-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Golden Eagles Denver Pioneers Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“

Actual: Denver Pioneers +7 (59-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaShay Page 37 4-11 1-5 2-3 0 0 0 0 1 11 -1 -
Angelo Johnson 36 5-10 0-2 2-3 4 1 1 0 2 12 6 -
Maurice Bolden 30 4-12 0-2 3-3 7 0 0 1 1 11 6 -
Neil Watson 24 2-9 2-4 5-6 2 1 1 0 2 11 4 -
Rashard McGill 23 0-3 0-0 0-2 6 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
Jonathan Mills 21 1-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
Torye Pelham 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
K. Dewitt 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -1 -

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Udofia 38 7-10 1-1 6-9 4 2 1 5 5 21 18 -
B. Olson 36 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
C. Hallam 30 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 7 9 -
R. O'Neale 27 3-5 2-4 3-4 6 2 0 1 2 11 13 -
B. Stafford 24 1-8 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 -6 -
R. Lewis 22 4-6 1-2 6-6 5 1 0 0 1 15 14 -
T. Hallam 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 0 3 -
J. Coughlin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Foeman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter