Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.7% | 25.3% | -6.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -7 (60-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Mosley | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Shamir Davis | 30 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Gary Roberson | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Patrick Robinson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Demetrice Jacobs | 20 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Gary Stewart | 20 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Louis Ellis | 20 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Brisco | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Hulbin | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| O.J. Evans | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Frazier | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenderek Washington | 36 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tramaine Butler | 29 | 7-21 | 0-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Ivory White | 27 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Luther Page | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jeffery Middlebrooks | 22 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Stephawn Brown | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joshua Mason | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter