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2011-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 29.7% 70.3% +4.7 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 5.8% 94.2% -
Efficiency 93.7% 6.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +21 (80-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Watkins * 30 5-11 1-1 8-9 2 5 0 0 4 19 11 -
A. Odunsi * 26 4-7 3-4 3-4 4 0 1 0 3 14 9 -
J. Washburn * 25 2-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 4 5 3 -
C. Martin * 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
B. Wilkinson * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Storey 27 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 7 1 0 2 2 5 -
D. Farr 26 5-5 1-1 1-3 5 0 0 1 0 12 13 -
J. Dawson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Hines 11 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
G. Matthews 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
K. Perkins 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Mortensen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Perryman * 32 1-8 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -
A. Drmic * 27 8-14 5-8 2-2 5 2 1 0 1 23 16 -
R. Watkins * 22 5-11 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 11 7 -
D. Wiley * 22 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
I. Hadziomerovic * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 4 -1 -
J. Elorriaga 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 6 0 1 0 1 10 -
D. Marks 17 2-4 0-0 5-5 2 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
T. Bropleh 17 3-6 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
K. Buckner 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
J. Crayton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Nichols 2 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 -

* = starter