Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks -13 (50-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Castellanos | 40 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Chad Holley | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Danny Thompson | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Julian Norfleet | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Owens | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Raven Barber | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kelvin Parker | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Dan Kenny | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Oliver Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Brothers | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nate Sikma | 26 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Yolonzo Moore | 25 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Andres Torres | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Mark Nwakamma | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jamie Schneck | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Corban Wroe | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Genesis Maciel | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Wes Cole | 13 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Ben O'Neill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Oren Faulk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Baker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter