Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issiah Grayson * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Stephon Carter * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Rashad Savage * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tyrone White * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Adam Young * | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mo Hughley | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Zach Lamb | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Donald Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andre Jackson | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kwai Pearson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Robert Hayes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amaurys Fermin * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | - |
| David Hanson * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Will Taylor * | 23 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Will Donahue | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter