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2011-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% -
Margin 38.6% 61.4% +2.6 (4.6 off)
Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Grayson * 37 5-8 2-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 12 7 -
S. Carter * 37 4-11 0-2 4-5 4 2 0 0 0 12 7 -
R. Savage * 27 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 4 8 -
T. White * 24 3-6 2-4 1-2 1 1 1 1 0 9 7 -
A. Young * 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Hughley 23 4-7 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 3 8 4 -
Z. Lamb 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 4 3 -
D. Johnson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Jackson 11 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
K. Pearson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Hayes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Fermin * 31 6-13 0-4 2-3 0 3 1 0 4 14 1 -
D. Hanson * 27 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 2 -1 -
W. Taylor * 23 8-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 16 11 -
D. U'u * 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 5 2 -
M. Love * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 -
J. Johnson 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 7 0 0 0 0 5 -
W. Donahue 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 7 -
C. Eversley 16 3-6 1-3 1-2 2 0 1 1 2 8 4 -
J. Lewis 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Royer 15 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter