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2011-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Appalachian State Mountaineers East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Omar Carter 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 1 0 5 14 22 -
Isaac Butts 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 2 4 10 20 -
Mitch Woods 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 6 2 4 -
Jamaal Trice 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 18 22 -
R. Milum 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 3 -
Andre Williamson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 10 16 -
Michael Neal 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 4 2 5 -
Nathan Healy 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 2 4 -
Tab Hamilton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 5 6 -

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Sollazzo 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 3 16 26 -
Sheldon Cooley 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 7 0 1 11 25 -
Tommy Hubbard 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 23 32 -
Marcus Dubose 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 9 13 -
Isiah Brown 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 6 12 17 -
Lukas Poderis 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 7 10 -
Jarvis Jones 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 3 0 0 3 8 -
J.C. Ward 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
John Walton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter