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2011-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Burton * 35 7-15 3-6 11-14 4 3 1 0 2 28 19 -
M. Story * 35 6-20 3-10 4-5 2 1 1 1 0 19 4 -
D. Hunt * 31 2-7 0-0 2-6 7 1 2 0 5 6 4 -
J. Evans, Jr. * 27 0-3 0-2 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 2 6 -
O. Czyz * 20 0-4 0-3 3-6 5 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
K. Panzer 20 3-5 1-2 0-1 4 0 0 2 1 7 7 -
P. Nyeko 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Elliott 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 0 2 -
J. Burris 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Finn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Fuetsch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Marshall * 32 0-7 0-2 7-8 8 7 0 0 2 7 13 -
O. Bellfield * 32 4-9 3-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 11 7 -
C. Stanback * 25 5-11 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 12 4 -
M. Moser * 23 4-9 0-2 0-0 11 1 5 2 3 8 15 -
B. Massamba * 12 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
J. Hawkins 24 5-10 1-5 2-4 2 2 1 1 0 13 9 -
Q. Thomas 21 0-2 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 1 1 8 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 18 4-7 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 4 0 9 10 -
K. Wallace 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter