Model Predictions
| Model | Radford Highlanders | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | +17.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +16 (62-46). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Radford Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Smith * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| R.J. Price * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jareal Smith * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tolga Cerrah * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Johnathan Edwards * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Javonte Green | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Mitchell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Lukas Winegarner | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brian Darden | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Allen Dickerson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Frazier * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 37 | - |
| Billy Oliver * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Cammeron Woodyard * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Trey Lewis * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Sasa Borovnjak * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Glover | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Graham | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ross Travis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Montminy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Colella | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Ackerman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter