Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +23 (73-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 36 | 5-16 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -7 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Rod Days * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Dwight McCombs * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 26 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Jordan | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Horodyski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snaer * | 32 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Bernard James * | 30 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Luke Loucks * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Okaro White * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Gibson * | 20 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Terrance Shannon | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Peterson | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jon Kreft | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Terry Whisnant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joey Moreau | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rafael Portuondo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter