Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.3% | 3.7% | -18.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith | 0 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Robertson-Warren | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Harper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Gibbs | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Dyer | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Vails | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Hobson | 0 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Garrison | 0 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Buer | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Shorter | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Soldner | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Roberson | 0 | 4-17 | 2-14 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | - |
* = starter