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2011-11-13

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 2.6% 97.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.3% 92.7% - โœ“
Margin 1.6% 98.4% +22.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +23 (82-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joey Getz * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 3 0 3 7 18 -
Adrian Satchell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 9 14 -
Nate Basalyga * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 0 2 12 -
Chase Plummer * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 0 7 12 19 -
Jamar Wertz * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
Brian Neller 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 13 16 -
Chandler Thomas 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 7 9 -
Will Wise 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
Quentin Jones 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
Jordan Wejnert 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jake Wasco 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Lindsey * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 9 2 0 5 15 31 -
M. Harkless * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 3 2 18 26 -
D. Harrison * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 2 17 26 -
M. Stith * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 12 -
G. Achiuwa * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 1 15 23 -
P. Greene IV 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 4 11 -
S. Pointer 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 -
J. White 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
S. Sealy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bashen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter