Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.8% | 5.2% | -16.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -16 (75-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilman White | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| John Henson * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Justin Watts | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Crouch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| David Dupont | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stewart Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Dickey * | 35 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J.P. Primm * | 35 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Chris Stephenson * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jaron Lane * | 26 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Quinard Jackson * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Atkinson | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jon Nwannunu | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trent Meyer | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keith Hornsby | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jaleel Roberts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Madison Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Harn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chudier Pal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Littlejohn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Seligson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter