Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.2% | 91.8% | +13.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +20 (68-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike James * | 29 | 2-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Charlie Harper * | 29 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Miles * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Devon Lamb * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nikko Acosta * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Osas Ebomwonyi | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 17 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Donley Minor | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Stan Brown | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tre Lynch | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Vincenzo Nelson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuric * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chane Behanan * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Peyton Siva * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Chris Smith * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jared Swopshire | 24 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Mike Marra | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Elisha Justice | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Russ Smith | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter