Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.3% | 96.7% | +18.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (89-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sypkens * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Ryan Howley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Alex Tiffin * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Les | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Adam Malik | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Player #46690 | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - |
| X. Thames * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| G. Green * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Williams * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Stephens | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Franklin | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 37 | - |
| L. Franklin | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
* = starter